Merry Christmas to everyone!
Today, a new Emblem Hero joins the game: Lyn. She can attack at 6 range, and the ring allows units with 2 range extend their range to 1~5 range, which is just incredible.
I’ve been saving up my orbs for the next A Hero Rises and am currently at 727 orbs. I’m hoping to not have to dig into my savings too much. In order to avoid the same mistake as my previous summoning session where I spent 280 orbs and got literally no 5-stars, I’m setting a cap this time to only spend up until I have 400 orbs remaining. Hopefully, I can have an ultra-lucky session this Christmas to cancel out that awful luck that my account has historically had. You can check out my previous summoning sessions here.
Goals
My targets for this banner are:
- Emblem Lyn
- Brave Alfonse (1 copy)
Medium priority:
- Heiðrún
- Brave Robin (F)
- Eikþyrnir
- Aided Reginn
- Brave Bernadetta
Low priority:
- Emblem Sigurd
- Emblem Ike
- Brave Felix
- Rune
Do not want:
- Legendary Veronica
Explanation
I would like to get a copy of Brave Alfonse for Breath of Life 4. I have exactly one of him which I pulled from the CYL banner when it released.
Everyone in medium priority I don’t have and would be nice to pick up as they’re strong units.
In low priority, It would be nice for me to get one extra copy of Sigurd and Felix so I don’t need to keep switching their blessings every Aether raids season as I use them all the time. However, it’s not too big of a deal. I already have 2 copies of Emblem Ike and I don’t have any infantry Rearmed or Attuned units to give Laguz friend to. As for Rune, I already have other Light Mythics that I are much higher merged.
And for Legendary Veronica, I don’t want her since she’s already +10 and fodder is not as rare.
As such, my plan is to only pull greens until I get Emblem Lyn, then expand to pull Green, Colorless, and Blue until I get Alfonse, or hit 500 orbs.
As an emergency lifeline, I have saved up enough Google Play credits from Opinion Rewards to get the FEH Pass if needed. However, since I don’t anticipate spending orbs on any other banners for the next month as I’ll be saving for A Hero Rises, it seems to be a waste just to purchase it for this one banner. Ideally, I would be able to use the spark on multiple banners to maximize my money’s worth.
Summoning Time
Well, 10 summons in and we got our first non-green circle.
Next up, I got Heiðrún and Ascended Fjorm (4* special) back to back.
Next up, I got another Heiðrún at the 22nd summon. At this point, I’m wondering if I’m even going to get Lyn now that we’ve hit the half-way point to 40 summons.
8.50%, 9%…
9.50%… and no green orbs.
At this point, I’ve hit the 40 summons, but no Lyn or Alfonse. I’m about 175 orbs in. Let’s keep going…
I got Jill (4* special), and also hit 10%.
A couple summons later, I finally got Lyn (+Spd/-Atk). I decided to summon the rest of the circle anyways as not to waste the 10% and ended up pulling a Legendary Veronica for some reason.
I decided to take a break after this and continue summoning later.
Results
Here are my summoning results. This session starts with Titania.
Here are the rest. The first set ending with Effie marks the 40th summon.
My orbs remaining was at 503. This means I spent 224 orbs (and the free summon) to get 4 five-star units, and 2 four-star specials.
This means I paid about 56 orbs per five-star, which is close to average: https://www.reddit.com/r/FireEmblemHeroes/comments/8g85ua/legendary_banner_6_orb_cost_analysis, but feels really low compared to looking at others like PM1 himself or his video’s comments section.
I decided to let myself think a while longer if I really wanted Brave Alfonse or not. My guess is that he’ll end up on the next round (6th) of combat manuals, meaning I’ll be wasting my orbs. However, I also considered that I didn’t have most of the Blue and Colorless units and would like to get at least one copy of them for my barracks.
Summoning again
About 12.5 hours later, I decided to continue summoning since I really wanted more meta-relevant units. Since I’ve been saving for a while, I’ve skipped the Attuned Timerra banner, and the Attuned Hector banner, the seasonal banners like Halloween, and the Mythic and Legendary banners like Læraðr/Níðhöggr, Hræsvelgr, and Loki. I pretty much only have the Brave heroes and Emblem heroes from this year, who have been hard-carrying me through Arena and Aether raids.
I was also watching SpartanRaph117 summon and he got Eikþyrnir a couple summons in, meaning my luck should also be good, right?
I decided that the maximum this time was to go until 400 orbs. Since I had gathered a few more orbs from quests and login bonuses, I’m back up to 523 orbs. I’ll continue with the original plan of summoning for Colorless, Blue, and Green.
Since we’re past the 40 summons mark, you can keep an eye out on my orb count to see where I’m at.
I got a Guinivere (4* special) a few summons in. Not who I’m looking for though…
Some of the circles I got were really bad.
My pity rate continues to climb…
10.50%, this is not looking good.
Finally, I got Alfonse. Unfortunately though, I did not get any other units on my priority list. I summoned the rest of the circle since I wanted to get more units. However, it ended up wasting me orbs since I didn’t get anyone.
I’m pretty much at 400 orbs at this point, so I stopped summoning.
I ended up with 392 orbs saved for A Hero Rises.
Results
Overall, I got worse-than-average luck again as I hit 10.50% and had to spent 131 orbs for a green unit, which is pretty much double the average for this session. And also didn’t receive Blue or Colorless focus units either.
If we average out all the summons for this banner, I spent a total of 355 orbs and got 4 focus five-star green units, 1 focus five-star red unit, and 3 four-star special.
This means my average focus five-star cost was: 71 orbs per 5-star, which is worse than average and significantly worse than the median. I didn’t get ultra-lucky as I was hoping, but I did at least get my highest priority targets, which is decent.
Hopefully the AHR banner has powerful units and can improve my account’s power in Arena.